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The BUGs Project – WinBugs

by jeffgrover on November 15, 2013

This is a link to the The BUGs Project – WinBugs

  

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Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation

by jeffgrover on October 16, 2013

Here is a link to a visualization of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation Using the Metropolis Algorithm. Please visit this @ MCMC
Enjoy!

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New Book–Bayes’ Scrolls Update

September 15, 2013

Just wanted to send a note to let you know I am working on a new book, Bayes’ Scrolls. This book will be published by Springer and will teach how to specify and compute posterior probabilities of Bayesian Belief Networks using only prior and likelihood probabilities. Stay tuned! Scroller 00   

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Doubt and the Double Helix

July 5, 2013

This post covers an article by Jordan Ellenberg in the Slate.com on June 5, 2013. It references the use of Bayes’ theorem in evaluating the probability of someone either being guilty or innocence when selected my DNA matching algorithms. Please find it here @ http://www.screencast.com/t/qZwIwfMjO 00   

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Introduction

June 27, 2013

This is the audio of my book, Strategic Economic Decision-Making (SEDM): Using Bayesian Belief Networks to Solve Complex Problems. Introduction to SEDM 00   

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IRS ProPublica Scandal

May 15, 2013

What Would Bayes Say: IRS Scandal? ProPublica, a Pulitzer Prize-winning progressive journalism group, accused the Cincinnati IRS branch of targeting conservative group Not-For-Profit (NFP) groups. If I am a NFP, then a fair question to ask is are the non-conservative companies being audited at the same proportions? This goes directly to Bayes’ theorem and conditional […]

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Jason Collins

May 2, 2013

Recently Jason Collins has come out and said he is gay. My thoughts are that the NBA represents society as a whole. If there are 10% of the population that is actually gay, surely this will precipitate “others” who will come out whether or not they are gay for different reasons; fame, fortune, media attention, […]

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Identifying Talent

March 19, 2013

Following the book signing, I had a conversation where Bayes’ theorem and Bayesian Belief Networks have utility in the business world. This was with a CEO that saw, following the book presentation, where he could use it when hiring personnel. He suggested that through experience he knew the characteristics of hiring employees that would turn […]

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Book Signing

March 14, 2013

I will be participating in a book signing with Webster University in Louisville on March 14, 2003. Come join us. See the link below Participants include: Bill Lamb, General Manager of WDRB and WMYO TV Christy Smallwood, the “Wonder Woman” of the Arkham Executive coaching team Dr.Jeffrey Grover, Founder and Chief Research Scientist of DBA […]

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Tutorial-WinBUGS Single Parameter Binomial Model

March 7, 2013

If a strategic economic decision-maker is interested in determing if the proportions of citizens were if fact  in favour of a policy if a survey of 1000 suggested that 650 did support the policy. This answers the question if a randomly selected citizen in the population is selected and asked his or her position on […]

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