This is a link to the The BUGs Project – WinBugs

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Here is a link to a visualization of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation Using the Metropolis Algorithm. Please visit this @ MCMC

Enjoy!

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Just wanted to send a note to let you know I am working on a new book, Bayes’ Scrolls. This book will be published by Springer and will teach how to specify and compute posterior probabilities of Bayesian Belief Networks using only prior and likelihood probabilities. Stay tuned! Scroller 00

This post covers an article by Jordan Ellenberg in the Slate.com on June 5, 2013. It references the use of Bayes’ theorem in evaluating the probability of someone either being guilty or innocence when selected my DNA matching algorithms. Please find it here @ http://www.screencast.com/t/qZwIwfMjO 00

This is the audio of my book, Strategic Economic Decision-Making (SEDM): Using Bayesian Belief Networks to Solve Complex Problems. Introduction to SEDM 00

What Would Bayes Say: IRS Scandal? ProPublica, a Pulitzer Prize-winning progressive journalism group, accused the Cincinnati IRS branch of targeting conservative group Not-For-Profit (NFP) groups. If I am a NFP, then a fair question to ask is are the non-conservative companies being audited at the same proportions? This goes directly to Bayes’ theorem and conditional […]

Recently Jason Collins has come out and said he is gay. My thoughts are that the NBA represents society as a whole. If there are 10% of the population that is actually gay, surely this will precipitate “others” who will come out whether or not they are gay for different reasons; fame, fortune, media attention, […]

I will be participating in a book signing with Webster University in Louisville on March 14, 2003. Come join us. See the link below Participants include: Bill Lamb, General Manager of WDRB and WMYO TV Christy Smallwood, the “Wonder Woman” of the Arkham Executive coaching team Dr.Jeffrey Grover, Founder and Chief Research Scientist of DBA […]

If a strategic economic decision-maker is interested in determing if the proportions of citizens were if fact in favour of a policy if a survey of 1000 suggested that 650 did support the policy. This answers the question if a randomly selected citizen in the population is selected and asked his or her position on […]